Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸

IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that the fit is good if it is shown.

The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.

Croatia⮸

Population $4,105,267$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $36,380$ on 2020-10-25

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $437$ on 2020-10-25

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $11,144$ on 2020-10-25

Sweden⮸

Population $10,099,265$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $110,594$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{95,244.3}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 103.7)}}\) (asimptote \(95,244.3\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $5,933$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,797.0}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,797.0\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $104,661$ on 2020-10-25

Norway⮸

Population $5,421,241$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $17,909$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,451.7}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 248.8)}}\) (asimptote \(32,451.7\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $279$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{257.1}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 32.2)}}\) (asimptote \(257.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $5,767$ on 2020-10-25

Finland⮸

Population $5,540,720$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $14,848$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,849.0}{1 + 10^{-0.007 (t - 102.3)}}\) (asimptote \(11,849.0\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $353$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(334.0\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $4,695$ on 2020-10-25

Denmark⮸

Population $5,792,202$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $40,863$ on 2020-10-25

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $702$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{624.2}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(624.2\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $7,682$ on 2020-10-25

Iceland⮸

Population $341,243$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $4,448$ on 2020-10-25

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $1,042$ on 2020-10-25

Belgium⮸

Population $11,589,623$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $321,031$ on 2020-10-25

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $10,810$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,852.6}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.3)}}\) (asimptote \(9,852.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $287,134$ on 2020-10-25

United Kingdom⮸

Population $67,886,011$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $876,840$ on 2020-10-25

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $44,986$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,395.1}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 46.2)}}\) (asimptote \(41,395.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $829,169$ on 2020-10-25

Italy⮸

Population $60,461,826$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $525,782$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{300,635.8}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 61.5)}}\) (asimptote \(300,635.8\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $37,338$ on 2020-10-25

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,163.5}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(35,163.5\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $222,241$ on 2020-10-25